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Recent Tweets

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Simon Likely to Cut Dividend This Summer

Simon Property Group (SPG) reported earnings on May 11. Management disclosed few specifics, dodging questions about how much rent was collected in April and the status of its pending acquisition of Taubman. However, CEO David Simon did provide general expectations for the dividend. Based on what management knows today, it sounds like Simon expects by the end [...]

May 13th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Ventas to Decide Dividend’s Fate in June; We Continue to Expect a Cut

Ventas (VTR) reported earnings on May 8 and opted not to comment on the dividend other than stating on the earnings call that a decision by the Board would be made in June: As you know, we declared and paid our last quarterly dividend in April. Because we normally pay our next dividend in July, our Board [...]

May 13th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Tanger Suspends Dividend as Mall Challenges Come to a Head

Tanger (SKT) reported earnings today and suspended its quarterly dividend. The owner of outlet malls will pay the previously-scheduled dividend on May 15, but payouts will cease after that until further notice. By suspending the dividend, Tanger will save $35 million in cash per quarter to help preserve the firm's balance sheet and maintain financial flexibility. It's [...]

May 12th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Enterprise Expects to Defend Its Distribution

Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) reported earnings on April 29. Management reaffirmed their commitment to the distribution, which has been increased for 21 consecutive years:  Finally, I'd like to iterate our financial objectives as to defend and maintain our distribution, our strong balance sheet, and our debt rating; maintain ample liquidity; and continue to high-grade and invest in [...]

May 9th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Federal Realty Vocalizes Strong Commitment to Dividend Despite Disappointing April Rent

Federal Realty (FRT), owner of grocery-anchored shopping centers, reported earnings on Wednesday and revealed that only 53% of April rent was collected. The REIT's properties have long been a stable source of rental income due to their location in large, affluent markets like Silicon Valley and New York. Investments over the past twenty years in nearby office [...]

May 8th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Realty Income’s April Rent Collection Beats Peers But Is Still Problematic

On Monday, Realty Income (O) released earnings and reported that 83% of rent was collected in April. Given the circumstances, April rent collection was better than expected and beat that of all other retail REITs we've studied. Source: Company Press Releases The top four industries in Realty Income's portfolio have fared well during coronavirus-related shutdowns so far. [...]

May 7th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Leggett & Platt’s Dividend Could Be Pressured as Leverage Rises

Leggett & Platt (LEG) has weathered many challenges over its 137-year existence while managing to increase its dividend for nearly 50 consecutive years. But the coronavirus pandemic could be a perfect storm for the dividend. After digesting the company's earnings call on Tuesday, we believe there is elevated risk that management could cut the dividend, [...]

May 6th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Welltower Reduces Dividend 30%, Adopts Buyback Plan

Welltower (WELL) reported earnings after the market closed today and announced plans to reduce its dividend by 30%: The financial headwinds resulting from the pandemic will create significant pressure on our near-term cash flow, leading to the difficult, but prudent decision to reduce our quarterly dividend to 70% of pre-COVID levels. Based on WELL's closing price, the [...]

May 6th, 2020|Uncategorized|

NNN Under Review for Sale as April Rent Paints Bleak Picture

National Retail Properties (NNN) reported earnings yesterday and revealed that a dismal 48% of rent went uncollected in April. May could be even worse than April as shutdowns persist and more businesses grapple with reduced economic activity and no return to normalcy in sight. Troubling NNN is the firm's high exposure to several industries impacted heavily by [...]

May 5th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Senior Housing Headwinds Increase Uncertainty for Welltower’s Dividend

On April 10, we published a note reviewing Welltower's (WELL) dividend safety and exposure to the coronavirus pandemic. More information about the state of the senior housing market has trickled in since then, and it's been worse than expected. As a result of these headwinds, we believe Welltower's cash flow may no longer cover its dividend for [...]

May 5th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Brookfield Property’s Mall Exposure Threatens Dividend

Brookfield Property Partners L.P. (BPY) is a major owner, operator, and investor in commercial real estate. In 2019, the firm generated approximately 46% of its net operating income (NOI) from retail assets, 35% from offices, and 19% from equity investments in Brookfield-sponsored real estate opportunity funds. We expect the coronavirus pandemic to impact each of [...]

May 4th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Pandemic Increases Pressure on Iron Mountain’s Dividend

The coronavirus pandemic creates several challenges for Iron Mountain (IRM). The business seems likely to remain a cash cow and has reasonable liquidity, but these emerging issues have potential to reduce the REIT's financial flexibility. This could be problematic given Iron Mountain's ongoing investments to evolve its business model for the digital world, plus the [...]

May 4th, 2020|Uncategorized|

W.P. Carey Collects Over 95% of April Rent, Expects Earnings to More than Cover Dividend

W.P. Carey (WPC) reported earnings this morning. Thanks to its diversified footprint, favorable retail exposure, and disciplined underwriting, the REIT collected over 95% of April rents and reiterated support for its dividend: Our capital needs in the near term are minimal, and we continue to expect that our earnings will more than cover our dividend. W.P. Carey [...]

May 1st, 2020|Uncategorized|

Shell Reduces Dividend in Response to Unprecedented Uncertainty Facing Oil Market

Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.B) announced plans to reduce its dividend by 66%, marking its first cut since World War II. Shares of Shell are down about 13% in early trading. Based on their current price and the new payout, shares have a dividend yield near 4%. Shell had a low (45) Borderline Safe Dividend Safety Score prior to this [...]

April 30th, 2020|Uncategorized|

Caterpillar’s Solid Liquidity Expected to Support Dividend

Caterpillar (CAT) reported earnings on Tuesday, and the coronavirus pandemic's impact was already evident in its results; sales fell 21% and profits tumbled 39%.  Management said that the impact of COVID-19 on Caterpillar's business "has been significantly more severe and chaotic than any cyclical downturn we had envisioned." But this isn't Caterpillar's first rodeo, and the company [...]

April 29th, 2020|Uncategorized|