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Recent Tweets


Kellogg Plans to Split Into Three Companies; Payout Expected to be Maintained in Aggregate

Kellogg has announced plans to split into three independent companies, believing that separating its operating segments will provide better autonomy and room for growth while helping its rangebound stock price break higher as investors value each business separately.While details still need to be finalized, including board approval and a favorable ruling from the IRS, the tax-free spinoffs [...]

June 23rd, 2022|Uncategorized|

Altria’s Long-Term Positioning Becomes Fuzzier as Regulators Order Juul’s E-Cigarettes Off U.S. Market

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) plans to take Juul's e-cigarettes off the market, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday. Shares of Altria fell as much as 10% on the news. Altria paid $12.8 billion for a 35% stake in Juul in 2018. The Marlboro maker made this investment, which has since been written down [...]

June 22nd, 2022|Uncategorized|

Lancaster’s 59-Year Dividend Growth Streak Unthreatened by Surging Soybean Oil, Wheat Prices

Founded in 1961, Lancaster sells branded frozen dinner rolls and garlic bread, croutons, salad dressings, bottled sauces, and other specialty food products to retailers and restaurants. Compared to its peers, Lancaster has been hit harder by commodity cost inflation due to its higher exposure to dressings, which we estimate account for at least one-third of [...]

June 21st, 2022|Uncategorized|

Softening Appliance Demand Not a Threat to Whirlpool’s Dividend

Demand for refrigerators, dishwashers, laundry machines, and other big-ticket appliances seems likely to slow further in the months ahead following two pandemic-fueled bumper years. Evidence is stacking up that consumers are shifting more of their spending from goods to services, with many households feeling pinched by persistent inflation and rising interest rates. Big-box retailer Target [...]

June 16th, 2022|Uncategorized|

Stanley Black & Decker’s Dividend Remains Secure Despite Supply Chain, Inflation Challenges

Stanley Black & Decker has paid uninterrupted dividends for 146 consecutive years, a streak we expect will continue despite a handful of macro headwinds that have sent shares of the world's largest tool maker slumping over 40% in 2022. Stanley's core portfolio of branded power and hand tools depends on about 100 manufacturing plants and 45 [...]

June 15th, 2022|Uncategorized|

As High Inflation Persists, Clorox’s Dividend Continues to Look Safe

Since our last note on Clorox in February, inflation has accelerated and run hotter than expected. Rising costs have further squeezed earnings and driven the firm's trailing payout ratio to over 100%. Despite the operating environment turning even more challenging than anticipated, we believe Clorox's long-term outlook remains intact, and the company's dividend remains safe. However, [...]

June 15th, 2022|Uncategorized|

Cracker Barrel Battles Surging Food, Wage Costs to Defend Dividend

Cracker Barrel's operating margin sits at roughly half its pre-Covid level, reflecting double-digit commodity and wage inflation along with dine-in traffic that has yet to recover fully from the pandemic's effects. As earnings pressures mount, Cracker Barrel's payout ratio may creep further towards 100%, a level not seen since the onset of the pandemic in [...]

June 14th, 2022|Uncategorized|

STORE Capital’s Optimistic Outlook Remains Intact Despite Slowing Economy

Shares of STORE Capital have trailed the broader market this year, having dropped almost 25%. Rising interest rates and growing anxiety around consumers' financial health seem to be the biggest concerns.While STORE has built a portfolio of nearly 3,000 properties filled primarily with e-commerce-resistant businesses like restaurants and gyms to combat the long-term headwinds of [...]

June 13th, 2022|Uncategorized|